HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.6%
藤凌駕 (R=1466)
vs
39.4%
若ノ勝 (R=1391)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 65.5% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 14.5pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 若ノ勝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1488 (2025-11) | 1391 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 100 | 237 |
| Wins | 67 | 143 |
| Losses | 32 | 79 |
| Win rate | 67.7% | 64.0% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #9 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 若ノ勝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 12 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 7 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 15 | 74% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.