HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.1%
兎富士 (R=375)
vs
45.9%
山田 (R=346)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (兎富士) | 67.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.5pt |
Positive = 兎富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 兎富士 | 山田 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1074 (2025-05) | 615 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 66 | 102 |
| Wins | 21 | 30 |
| Losses | 40 | 72 |
| Win rate | 34.9% | 29.4% |
| Current rank | Jonokuchi #5 | Jonokuchi #4 |
| Active period | 2025-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 兎富士 | vs | 山田 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 15 | 81% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.