HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
76.7%
鶴翔 (R=813)
vs
23.3%
蒼乃駿 (R=604)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鶴翔) | 81.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 18.9pt |
Positive = 鶴翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鶴翔 | 蒼乃駿 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1088 (2025-07) | 1144 (2021-05) |
| Career bouts | 49 | 217 |
| Wins | 24 | 84 |
| Losses | 25 | 111 |
| Win rate | 49.0% | 43.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #50 | Jonidan #49 |
| Active period | 2025-05 〜 2026-05 | 2021-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鶴翔 | vs | 蒼乃駿 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 1 | 81% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.