HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.5%
鶴の里 (R=958)
vs
37.5%
朝乃丈 (R=867)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (鶴の里) | 60.7% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -10.7pt |
Positive = 鶴の里 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 鶴の里 | 朝乃丈 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2025-05) | 1302 (2004-03) |
| Career bouts | 49 | 912 |
| Wins | 26 | 440 |
| Losses | 22 | 463 |
| Win rate | 53.1% | 48.6% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #9 | Jonidan #60 |
| Active period | 2025-05 〜 2026-09 | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 鶴の里 | vs | 朝乃丈 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.