HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.0%
光星竜 (R=1408)
vs
55.0%
花響 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (光星竜) | 45.0% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -45.0pt |
Positive = 光星竜 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 光星竜 | 花響 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1408 (2026-09) | 1466 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 66 | 67 |
| Wins | 43 | 38 |
| Losses | 18 | 28 |
| Win rate | 70.5% | 58.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #15 | Makushita #15 |
| Active period | 2025-05 〜 2026-09 | 2025-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 光星竜 | vs | 花響 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 1 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.