HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.2%
竜翔 (R=1487)
vs
43.8%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (竜翔) | 60.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -10.0pt |
Positive = 竜翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 竜翔 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1518 (2025-11) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 59 | 398 |
| Wins | 37 | 209 |
| Losses | 22 | 185 |
| Win rate | 62.7% | 53.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #7 | Makushita #7 |
| Active period | 2025-07 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 竜翔 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 12 | 64% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.