HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
71.8%
旭轟星 (R=852)
vs
28.2%
美勝丸 (R=686)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (旭轟星) | 80.7% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 19.3pt |
Positive = 旭轟星 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 旭轟星 | 美勝丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 987 (2026-03) | 879 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 14 | 141 |
| Wins | 10 | 61 |
| Losses | 4 | 78 |
| Win rate | 71.4% | 44.3% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #41 | Jonidan #90 |
| Active period | 2026-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 旭轟星 | vs | 美勝丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 12 | 81% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.