HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.6%
旭轟星 (R=852)
vs
64.4%
千代の輝 (R=957)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (旭轟星) | 75.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -25.0pt |
Positive = 旭轟星 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 旭轟星 | 千代の輝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 987 (2026-03) | 984 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 14 | 98 |
| Wins | 10 | 31 |
| Losses | 4 | 18 |
| Win rate | 71.4% | 62.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #41 | Jonidan #45 |
| Active period | 2026-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 旭轟星 | vs | 千代の輝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 8 | 96% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.