HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.5%
旭轟星 (R=904)
vs
51.5%
千代の輝 (R=915)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (旭轟星) | 79.4% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -29.4pt |
Positive = 旭轟星 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 旭轟星 | 千代の輝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 975 (2026-03) | 925 (2023-11) |
| Career bouts | 14 | 98 |
| Wins | 10 | 31 |
| Losses | 4 | 18 |
| Win rate | 71.4% | 62.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #40 | Jonidan #42 |
| Active period | 2026-03 〜 2026-05 | 2023-11 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 旭轟星 | vs | 千代の輝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 8 | 97% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.