HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.6%
跳乃山 (R=1033)
vs
41.4%
砂坂 (R=971)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (跳乃山) | 58.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -58.6pt |
Positive = 跳乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 跳乃山 | 砂坂 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1131 (2026-05) | 1230 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 25 | 73 |
| Wins | 16 | 38 |
| Losses | 9 | 35 |
| Win rate | 64.0% | 52.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #3 | Jonidan #4 |
| Active period | 2026-05 〜 2026-09 | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 跳乃山 | vs | 砂坂 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 4 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.