HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
17.9%
天一 (R=461)
vs
82.1%
大翔 (R=731)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天一) | 45.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 4.8pt |
Positive = 天一 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天一 | 大翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1359 (2007-09) | 1262 (2016-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,379 | 421 |
| Wins | 656 | 199 |
| Losses | 704 | 213 |
| Win rate | 48.4% | 48.2% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #98 | Jonidan #72 |
| Active period | 1993-05 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天一 | vs | 大翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 3 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-01 | 7 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.