HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
76.7%
天一 (R=461)
vs
23.3%
肥後ノ龍 (R=249)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天一) | 70.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 30.0pt |
Positive = 天一 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天一 | 肥後ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1359 (2007-09) | 1144 (2004-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,379 | 917 |
| Wins | 656 | 399 |
| Losses | 704 | 492 |
| Win rate | 48.4% | 44.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #98 | Jonokuchi #13 |
| Active period | 1993-05 〜 2026-09 | 2004-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天一 | vs | 肥後ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 14 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.