HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
29.5%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
vs
70.5%
旭海雄 (R=1587)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (佐田の海) | 40.7% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -0.7pt |
Positive = 佐田の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 佐田の海 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2015-07) | 1609 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,628 | 167 |
| Wins | 791 | 107 |
| Losses | 829 | 60 |
| Win rate | 48.9% | 64.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #5 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 佐田の海 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 13 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 13 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.