HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
13.0%
輝の里 (R=165)
vs
87.0%
佐田の城 (R=502)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝の里) | 26.4% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | 7.0pt |
Positive = 輝の里 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝の里 | 佐田の城 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1145 (2004-01) | 1031 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,364 | 271 |
| Wins | 613 | 75 |
| Losses | 726 | 112 |
| Win rate | 45.8% | 40.5% |
| Current rank | Jonokuchi #11 | Jonokuchi #6 |
| Active period | 1993-05 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝の里 | vs | 佐田の城 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09 | 11 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 9 | 19% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 13% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.