HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.6%
輝の里 (R=430)
vs
35.4%
潮来桜 (R=324)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝の里) | 68.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 31.4pt |
Positive = 輝の里 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝の里 | 潮来桜 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (1993-05) | 883 (2001-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,347 | 1,332 |
| Wins | 609 | 528 |
| Losses | 714 | 790 |
| Win rate | 46.1% | 40.3% |
| Current rank | Jonokuchi #3 | Jonokuchi #4 |
| Active period | 1993-05 〜 2026-05 | 1994-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝の里 | vs | 潮来桜 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-09 | 10 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-03 | 4 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 12 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 3 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.