HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.0%
武蔵海 (R=724)
vs
51.0%
大翔 (R=731)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (武蔵海) | 49.1% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 25.9pt |
Positive = 武蔵海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 武蔵海 | 大翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1410 (2008-07) | 1262 (2016-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,190 | 421 |
| Wins | 593 | 199 |
| Losses | 591 | 213 |
| Win rate | 50.2% | 48.2% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #49 | Jonidan #50 |
| Active period | 1997-05 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 武蔵海 | vs | 大翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 4 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 9 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 13 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 14 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.