HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.7%
朝乃丈 (R=867)
vs
55.3%
千代大聖 (R=905)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃丈) | 62.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -12.5pt |
Positive = 朝乃丈 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃丈 | 千代大聖 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1302 (2004-03) | 1256 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 912 | 252 |
| Wins | 440 | 124 |
| Losses | 463 | 121 |
| Win rate | 48.6% | 50.6% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #24 | Jonidan #24 |
| Active period | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃丈 | vs | 千代大聖 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 7 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 11 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.