HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.4%
朝乃丈 (R=867)
vs
50.6%
菊昇基 (R=872)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃丈) | 61.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 38.9pt |
Positive = 朝乃丈 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃丈 | 菊昇基 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1302 (2004-03) | 1256 (2023-05) |
| Career bouts | 912 | 141 |
| Wins | 440 | 65 |
| Losses | 463 | 69 |
| Win rate | 48.6% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #24 | Jonidan #22 |
| Active period | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃丈 | vs | 菊昇基 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.