HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.5%
朝乃丈 (R=867)
vs
35.5%
若肥前 (R=762)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃丈) | 60.2% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 14.8pt |
Positive = 朝乃丈 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃丈 | 若肥前 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1302 (2004-03) | 1028 (2019-09) |
| Career bouts | 929 | 855 |
| Wins | 447 | 399 |
| Losses | 473 | 454 |
| Win rate | 48.5% | 46.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #60 | Jonidan #60 |
| Active period | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃丈 | vs | 若肥前 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03 | 9 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-07 | 15 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.