HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
17.2%
常陸號 (R=895)
vs
82.8%
小川 (R=1190)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (常陸號) | 17.2% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -17.2pt |
Positive = 常陸號 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 常陸號 | 小川 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1254 (2015-01) | 1190 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 895 | 15 |
| Wins | 445 | 12 |
| Losses | 440 | 3 |
| Win rate | 50.2% | 80.0% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #74 | Sandanme #74 |
| Active period | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 | 2026-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 常陸號 | vs | 小川 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 1 | 17% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.