HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.9%
常陸號 (R=895)
vs
46.1%
朝乃丈 (R=867)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (常陸號) | 50.2% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 9.8pt |
Positive = 常陸號 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 常陸號 | 朝乃丈 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1254 (2015-01) | 1302 (2004-03) |
| Career bouts | 878 | 912 |
| Wins | 437 | 440 |
| Losses | 431 | 463 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 48.6% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #74 | Jonidan #60 |
| Active period | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 常陸號 | vs | 朝乃丈 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-09 | 13 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-01 | 11 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 7 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 13 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.