HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.9%
錦木 (R=1434)
vs
61.1%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (錦木) | 44.9% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 15.1pt |
Positive = 錦木 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 錦木 | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1763 (2023-07) | 1707 (2017-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,396 | 650 |
| Wins | 671 | 308 |
| Losses | 716 | 259 |
| Win rate | 48.6% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #2 | Juryo #10 |
| Active period | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 錦木 | vs | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07 | 10 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-09 | 8 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.