HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.7%
千代雷山 (R=1112)
vs
52.3%
小城ノ浜 (R=1128)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代雷山) | 54.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 45.1pt |
Positive = 千代雷山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代雷山 | 小城ノ浜 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1212 (2024-09) | 1294 (2018-09) |
| Career bouts | 829 | 687 |
| Wins | 413 | 327 |
| Losses | 394 | 291 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 52.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #44 | Sandanme #40 |
| Active period | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代雷山 | vs | 小城ノ浜 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-03 | 9 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.