HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.5%
千代雷山 (R=1112)
vs
56.5%
穂嵩 (R=1159)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代雷山) | 43.4% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 36.6pt |
Positive = 千代雷山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代雷山 | 穂嵩 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1212 (2024-09) | 1310 (2019-07) |
| Career bouts | 829 | 319 |
| Wins | 413 | 156 |
| Losses | 394 | 149 |
| Win rate | 51.3% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #44 | Sandanme #43 |
| Active period | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 | 2019-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代雷山 | vs | 穂嵩 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09 | 11 | 26% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 2 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 1 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.