HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.1%
大國山 (R=328)
vs
56.9%
東山 (R=377)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大國山) | 59.3% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 20.7pt |
Positive = 大國山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大國山 | 東山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 922 (2008-03) | 1055 (2010-05) |
| Career bouts | 721 | 663 |
| Wins | 300 | 200 |
| Losses | 398 | 443 |
| Win rate | 43.0% | 31.2% |
| Current rank | Jonokuchi #8 | Jonidan #70 |
| Active period | 2008-03 〜 2026-09 | 2010-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大國山 | vs | 東山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07 | 6 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 14 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 3 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 13 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.