TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 15 REVIEW
The final day kept its secret until the very end. Aonishiki, alone at the top, met sekiwake Atamifuji two bouts from the finish — and was pushed out, unable to settle it there. Moments later ozeki Kirishima forced out Kotozakura for his twelfth win, and with three men tied at 12-3 the championship went to a playoff. It was Aonishiki who came through it, avenging his regular-bout defeat and lifting his third Emperor's Cup. Having sat out the previous tournament entirely on kadoban, he needed ten wins for a special return to ozeki — and became the first wrestler in history to secure that return and the championship in the same basho. The 22-year-old had beaten both yokozuna on consecutive days while nursing an injured left foot, and when asked about it afterwards he simply said, 'Let's talk about the sumo.' Atamifuji and Kirishima both finished on twelve wins, Onosato closed with nine after pushing down Kotoshoho, and Hoshoryu ended the tournament withdrawn. Fifteen days that belonged to a young man from Ukraine.
Juryo
14 bouts
東白龍Juryo #12+6.7上手出し投げ60%vs40%
栃幸大Makushita #5−9.4
夢道鵬Makushita #4−8.3上手出し投げ43%vs57%
炎鵬Juryo #11+7.1
豪刃雄Makushita #2+11押し出し51%vs49%
玉正鳳Juryo #10−8.1
翠富士Juryo #8+5.1寄り切り67%vs33%
錦木Juryo #14−5.3
嘉陽Juryo #12+9.7上手投げ50%vs50%
明生Juryo #7−8.3
西ノ龍Juryo #9−6.2押し出し37%vs63%
風賢央Juryo #6+7.5
北の若Juryo #5−9.7上手投げ59%vs41%
栃大海Juryo #14+10
輝Juryo #11−6.3押し出し32%vs68%
寿之富士Juryo #4+5.3
友風Juryo #4−8.6押し出し54%vs46%
日翔志Juryo #10+9.8
玉鷲Juryo #7+8.8押し出し43%vs57%
出羽ノ龍Juryo #3−9.9
竜電Juryo #3+8.7寄り切り42%vs58%
白熊Juryo #9−8.1
時疾風Juryo #2+6.9突き落とし49%vs51%
湘南乃海Juryo #6−9.3
嵐富士Juryo #13+9.1肩透かし49%vs51%
旭海雄Juryo #1−9.8
朝翠龍Juryo #1+5.7押し出し67%vs33%
羽出山Juryo #8−6.4
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).