TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 9 REVIEW
Day 9 was a day of historic upsets in Nagoya: both yokozuna and both ozeki lost. The headline belonged, once again, to Aonishiki. He beat yokozuna Onosato for the first time in his career with a crisp overarm pulling throw, securing his winning record and holding his place at the front. 'The sumo itself wasn't good, but my body reacted well,' he said calmly — now just two wins from the ten he needs for his special return to ozeki. Hoshoryu was forced out by new komusubi Yoshinofuji, who has now beaten both yokozuna this tournament. Kirishima was thrust down by Churanoumi to fall two back, and Kotozakura lost yet again, thrown by the relentless Hakunofuji. Sekiwake Atamifuji and Kotoshoho both held firm with wins. Three men — Aonishiki, Kotoeiho and Shishi — now share the lead with one loss apiece. Entering the final stretch, the title race belongs to a sekiwake and two rank-and-filers, while the sport's highest ranks endure a brutal day.
Juryo
13 bouts
輝Juryo #11−9.3叩き込み63%vs37%
栃大海Juryo #14+9.8
錦木Juryo #14−8.3叩き込み47%vs53%
玉正鳳Juryo #10+9.2
白熊Juryo #9−10押し出し38%vs62%
嵐富士Juryo #13+7.8
炎鵬Juryo #11+9.7押し出し57%vs43%
羽出山Juryo #8−9.4
翠富士Juryo #8+5.8送り吊り落とし57%vs43%
東白龍Juryo #12−6.5
日翔志Juryo #10−7.8送り出し55%vs45%
明生Juryo #7+9.7
玉鷲Juryo #7−11送り出し55%vs45%
嘉陽Juryo #12+11
西ノ龍Juryo #9−7.4寄り切り29%vs71%
出羽ノ龍Juryo #3+7.4
竜電Juryo #3−7.9寄り切り45%vs55%
風賢央Juryo #6+9.3
友風Juryo #4−9.0押し出し56%vs44%
佐田の海Juryo #2+10.0
時疾風Juryo #2−10寄り切り45%vs55%
寿之富士Juryo #4+7.9
湘南乃海Juryo #6+10上手投げ43%vs57%
旭海雄Juryo #1−10
朝翠龍Juryo #1+7.7寄り切り56%vs44%
北の若Juryo #5−8.9
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).