HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
71.6%
霧島 (R=1917)
vs
28.4%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (霧島) | 39.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 10.4pt |
Positive = 霧島 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 霧島 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1968 (2026-07) | 1903 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 839 | 824 |
| Wins | 490 | 438 |
| Losses | 315 | 217 |
| Win rate | 60.9% | 66.5% |
| Current rank | Ozeki | Maegashira #1 |
| Active period | 2015-05 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (10)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 霧島 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07 | 5 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-09 | 10 | 21% | ■ | vs | □ |
| 2020-11 | 1 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-03 | 7 | 22% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-05 | 6 | 24% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 14 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 9 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 4 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.