HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
70.5%
霧島 (R=1590)
vs
29.5%
平戸海 (R=1438)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (霧島) | 67.8% |
| Actual win rate | 63.6% |
| Delta | -4.2pt |
Positive = 霧島 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 霧島 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1590 (2026-07) | 1444 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 814 | 659 |
| Wins | 474 | 344 |
| Losses | 306 | 305 |
| Win rate | 60.8% | 52.9% |
| Current rank | Ozeki | Maegashira #3 |
| Active period | 2015-05 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 霧島 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 11 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 10 | 75% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 2 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 6 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 5 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 6 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 4 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 10 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



