HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
71.4%
霧島 (R=1590)
vs
28.6%
豪ノ山 (R=1430)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (霧島) | 63.9% |
| Actual win rate | 54.5% |
| Delta | -9.3pt |
Positive = 霧島 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 霧島 | 豪ノ山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1590 (2026-07) | 1454 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 814 | 428 |
| Wins | 474 | 227 |
| Losses | 306 | 190 |
| Win rate | 60.8% | 55.1% |
| Current rank | Ozeki | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2015-05 〜 2026-07 | 2021-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 霧島 | vs | 豪ノ山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 6 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 1 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 3 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 13 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 9 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 1 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 4 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



