YUSHO PROBABILITY
2026-07 BashoBashoGrand sumo tournament. 6 are held per year (Jan, Mar, May, Jul, Sep, Nov), each lasting 15 days. · YushoYushoTournament championship. Goes to the wrestler with the most wins; tied wrestlers go to a playoff. Forecast
Monte Carlo simulation based on each wrestler's latest rating (10,000 iterations).
Live · after Day 11 — probabilities updated from current results
#1
井
YUSHO PROBABILITY
48.4%
Top 30 — 序ノ口
- 2喜喜望鵬KibohoJonokuchi #14・大嶽部屋24.32%Avg 5.5 w
- 3島島袋ShimabukuroJonokuchi #12・放駒部屋16.93%Avg 5.3 w
- 4宮宮富士MiyafujiJonokuchi #9・伊勢ヶ濱部屋5.50%Avg 4.9 w
- 5福福生龍FukushoryuJonokuchi #5・湊部屋4.36%Avg 4.8 w
- 6荒荒飛AratobiJonokuchi #1・伊勢ノ海部屋0.35%Avg 4.2 w
- 7旭旭疾風KyokuhayateJonokuchi #17・大島部屋0.03%Avg 4.1 w
- 8琴琴川渕KotokawabuchiJonokuchi #8・佐渡ヶ嶽部屋0.02%Avg 4.5 w
- 9鶴鶴峰KakuhoJonokuchi #16・音羽山部屋0.02%Avg 4.3 w
- 10小小久保KokuboJonokuchi #7・浅香山部屋0.01%Avg 4.7 w
- 11千千代葵ChiyoaoiJonokuchi #11・九重部屋0.01%Avg 4.0 w
- 12獅獅子丸ShishimaruJonokuchi #1・田子ノ浦部屋0.00%Avg 3.3 w
- 13若若花新WakaarataJonokuchi #2・西岩部屋0.00%Avg 3.4 w
- 14安安氣乃山AkenoyamaJonokuchi #2・安治川部屋0.00%Avg 2.4 w
- 15輝輝の里TerunosatoJonokuchi #3・田子ノ浦部屋0.00%Avg 0.3 w
- 16千千代青梅ChiyomeJonokuchi #3・九重部屋0.00%Avg 2.8 w
- 17潮潮来桜ItakozakuraJonokuchi #4・式秀部屋0.00%Avg 1.4 w
- 18美美浪MinamiJonokuchi #4・秀ノ山部屋0.00%Avg 3.3 w
- 19東東浪AzumanamiJonokuchi #5・玉ノ井部屋0.00%Avg 3.5 w
- 20大大國山OkuniyamaJonokuchi #6・朝日山部屋0.00%Avg 2.5 w
- 21東東山AzumayamaJonokuchi #6・玉ノ井部屋0.00%Avg 2.4 w
- 22琴琴平沼KotohiranumaJonokuchi #7・佐渡ヶ嶽部屋0.00%Avg 3.6 w
- 23兎兎富士UsagifujiJonokuchi #8・伊勢ヶ濱部屋0.00%Avg 3.4 w
- 24琴琴石田KotoishidaJonokuchi #9・佐渡ヶ嶽部屋0.00%Avg 1.7 w
- 25千千代真山ChiyoshinzanJonokuchi #10・九重部屋0.00%Avg 2.2 w
- 26島島野ShimanoJonokuchi #10・荒汐部屋0.00%Avg 2.7 w
- 27祥祥乃山SachinoyamaJonokuchi #11・高田川部屋0.00%Avg 3.7 w
- 28風風ノ華KazenohanaJonokuchi #12・押尾川部屋0.00%Avg 2.8 w
- 29森森麗MoriuraraJonokuchi #13・大嶽部屋0.00%Avg 1.3 w
- 30京京の里KyonosatoJonokuchi #13・伊勢ノ海部屋0.00%Avg 2.6 w
Withdrawn Wrestlers (7)
Wrestlers absent from Day 1 or withdrawn mid-tournament; excluded from the yusho forecast.
- 城城皓貴JokokiJonokuchi #15Withdrawn
- 杣杣乃心KishimotoJonokuchi #15Withdrawn
- 垣垣添KakizoeJonokuchi #16Withdrawn
- 宇宇座UzaJonokuchi #17Withdrawn
- 千千代の貴ChiyonotakaJonokuchi #18Withdrawn
- 小小川OgawaJonokuchi #18Withdrawn
- 遥遥人HarutoJonokuchi #20Withdrawn
Simplified forecast — does not account for injuries, momentum, or form.