TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 12 REVIEW
Day 12 blew the race wide open. Aonishiki, seemingly cruising, was driven out in the sekiwake showdown by Kotoshoho for his second loss — and the chase pack pounced as one. The masterpiece belonged to Kirishima: facing Onosato, a man he had never beaten in ten career tries, he finally broke through at the eleventh attempt, rolling the yokozuna with his trademark tottari arm bar to keep his rope run alive. Takerufuji threw down Takayasu, Shishi beat Asanoyama with an underarm throw, and suddenly four men — Aonishiki, Kirishima, Takerufuji and Shishi — share the lead at ten wins and two losses: a sekiwake, an ozeki and two rank-and-filers, a leaderboard rarely seen in recent years. Kotoeiho, whose nine-game run lit up the middle days, was forced out by Atamifuji and dropped back. Kotozakura showed his pride with a pulling overarm throw of Hoshoryu, while Onosato slipped to an even record. Three days remain, and the Emperor's Cup is anyone's to take.
Juryo
13 bouts
日翔志Juryo #10+8.7突き落とし50%vs50%
嘉陽Juryo #12−8.2
東白龍Juryo #12+9.9送り出し54%vs46%
西ノ龍Juryo #9−9.2
栃大海Juryo #14+10押し倒し52%vs48%
明生Juryo #7−8.7
湘南乃海Juryo #6+6.9叩き込み54%vs46%
嵐富士Juryo #13−9.8
錦木Juryo #14−6.6押し出し35%vs65%
風賢央Juryo #6+5.7
友風Juryo #4+8.3引き落とし52%vs48%
輝Juryo #11−7.3
白熊Juryo #9+9.2寄り倒し39%vs61%
寿之富士Juryo #4−12
竜電Juryo #3−8.7寄り切り53%vs47%
玉正鳳Juryo #10+11
北の若Juryo #5−8.6押し出し44%vs56%
出羽ノ龍Juryo #3+7.9
時疾風Juryo #2+8.7上手投げ53%vs47%
翠富士Juryo #8−9.7
炎鵬Juryo #11+9.1とったり54%vs46%
佐田の海Juryo #2−8.4
朝翠龍Juryo #1+6.5突き落とし63%vs37%
玉鷲Juryo #7−7.1
羽出山Juryo #8−6.5押し出し41%vs59%
旭海雄Juryo #1+7.7
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).