TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 1 REVIEW
Onosato opened as the lone yokozuna and got through, just: he failed to get his right arm inside at the tachiai, pulled — his bad habit — and only won with a leaping slap-down of komusubi Daieisho at the edge. It is his first opening-day win since January, and he led with the self-criticism: it had given him a scare and he would fix it for tomorrow. Kirishima, chasing yokozuna promotion, was driven to the bales by Kotoshoho's thrusts before a saving overarm throw; he called it a scrambled start but was relieved his body moved. Aonishiki, back at ozeki, forced out Kotoeiho, and Kotozakura forced out Takayasu, so all three ozeki won. Sekiwake Atamifuji, on an ozeki run, absorbed Gonoyama's charge, took a left outside grip and forced him out to a roar. New sekiwake Fujinokawa beat Yoshinofuji for the first time in six meetings — no more calling him a bad match-up, he said. New komusubi Hakunofuji lost, forced out by Minoumi. Lower down, the brothers Asasuiryu and Asakoryu exchanged ceremonial water for the first time and both won, the debutant forcing out Chiyoshoma and his elder brother throwing Tobizaru; the other newcomer, Kotobukinofuji, fell to Tokihayate. Hoshoryu, Wakatakakage and Wakanokatsu are out from day one.
Juryo
14 bouts
西ノ龍Makushita #1+11上手投げ54%vs46%
錦木Juryo #14−11
栃大海Juryo #14−12押し出し46%vs54%
時不動Juryo #13+12
明生Juryo #13−12突き落とし41%vs59%
嘉陽Juryo #12+12
玉正鳳Juryo #12−12寄り切り42%vs58%
日翔志Juryo #11+12
輝Juryo #11+13寄り倒し52%vs48%
丹治Juryo #10−13
生田目Juryo #10+8.8突き出し61%vs39%
東白龍Juryo #9−8.8
炎鵬Juryo #9+12押し出し57%vs43%
羽出山Juryo #8−12
竜電Juryo #8+12叩き込み57%vs43%
友風Juryo #7−12
翠富士Juryo #7−13押し出し55%vs45%
白熊Juryo #6+13
北の若Juryo #6+13上手投げ50%vs50%
嵐富士Juryo #5−13
佐田の海Juryo #5+13押し出し40%vs60%
御嶽海Juryo #4−13
風賢央Juryo #4+13引き落とし47%vs53%
阿武剋Juryo #3−13
玉鷲Juryo #3−9.8下手投げ51%vs49%
一意Juryo #2+9.8
大青山Juryo #2+12寄り切り50%vs50%
旭海雄Juryo #1−12
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).