TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 12 REVIEW
Onosato beat Atamifuji with an underarm pulling throw for 11-1; Atamifuji's fourth loss leaves him short of the 33-win yardstick. In the three-loss showdowns Aonishiki forced out Kinbozan and Asanoyama forced out Minoumi, so the 9-3 group is Aonishiki, Fujinokawa and Asanoyama. Fujinokawa forced down Kirishima for 9-3, completing wins over all three ozeki; Kirishima is 6-6. Kotozakura pushed out Oshoma for a winning record, and Ura, Wakamotoharu and Fujiseiun also reached 8-4. Daieisho was thrust out by Takayasu for a losing record, and Hakunofuji lost to Gonoyama for 3-9. Kotoshoho withdrew, a walkover for Fujiryoga. After twelve days Onosato is 11-1, three men are 9-3 and seven are 8-4: Wakamotoharu, Ura, Kotozakura, Minoumi, Atamifuji, Fujiseiun and Kinbozan. If Onosato wins on day thirteen and all three 9-3 men lose, the title is his. In juryo Kagayaki is 11-1 and Kayo 10-2.
Juryo
14 bouts
竜鳳Makushita #4−12寄り倒し62%vs38%
錦木Juryo #14+11
生田目Juryo #10+7.2突き落とし67%vs33%
栃大海Juryo #14−5.8
嘉陽Juryo #12+7.9叩き込み51%vs49%
丹治Juryo #10−11
時不動Juryo #13−8.3突き出し47%vs53%
東白龍Juryo #9+8.6
明生Juryo #13+10押し出し52%vs48%
羽出山Juryo #8−8.3
北の若Juryo #6+6.2突き出し63%vs37%
日翔志Juryo #11−8.0
玉正鳳Juryo #12−6.1寄り切り30%vs70%
嵐富士Juryo #5+6.1
風賢央Juryo #4+6.7押し出し55%vs45%
竜電Juryo #8−8.3
友風Juryo #7−7.4引き落とし46%vs54%
御嶽海Juryo #4+8.7
玉鷲Juryo #3+6.5押し出し70%vs30%
佐田の海Juryo #5−6.5
翠富士Juryo #7+9.8内無双46%vs54%
阿武剋Juryo #3−8.9
大青山Juryo #2−12押し出し56%vs44%
輝Juryo #11+9.2
炎鵬Juryo #9+11引き落とし42%vs58%
一意Juryo #2−10
出羽ノ龍Juryo #1−10小手投げ65%vs35%
白熊Juryo #6+11
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).