TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 12 REVIEW
Onosato beat Atamifuji with an underarm pulling throw for 11-1; Atamifuji's fourth loss leaves him short of the 33-win yardstick. In the three-loss showdowns Aonishiki forced out Kinbozan and Asanoyama forced out Minoumi, so the 9-3 group is Aonishiki, Fujinokawa and Asanoyama. Fujinokawa forced down Kirishima for 9-3, completing wins over all three ozeki; Kirishima is 6-6. Kotozakura pushed out Oshoma for a winning record, and Ura, Wakamotoharu and Fujiseiun also reached 8-4. Daieisho was thrust out by Takayasu for a losing record, and Hakunofuji lost to Gonoyama for 3-9. Kotoshoho withdrew, a walkover for Fujiryoga. After twelve days Onosato is 11-1, three men are 9-3 and seven are 8-4: Wakamotoharu, Ura, Kotozakura, Minoumi, Atamifuji, Fujiseiun and Kinbozan. If Onosato wins on day thirteen and all three 9-3 men lose, the title is his. In juryo Kagayaki is 11-1 and Kayo 10-2.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
翔猿Maegashira #14−8.6寄り切り45%vs55%
旭海雄Juryo #1+9.4
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−7.2押し出し38%vs62%
阿炎Maegashira #13+7.2
寿之富士Maegashira #16−9.3上手投げ52%vs48%
朝白龍Maegashira #12+8.3
王鵬Maegashira #10+7.7押し出し68%vs32%
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−5.5
宇良Maegashira #9+6.7押し出し60%vs40%
時疾風Maegashira #15−8.2
尊富士Maegashira #8−11寄り切り59%vs41%
朝翠龍Maegashira #15+11
朝紅龍Maegashira #13+9.8小手投げ45%vs55%
平戸海Maegashira #8−10
藤青雲Maegashira #7+6.7寄り切り69%vs31%
正代Maegashira #11−6.2
獅司Maegashira #9−8.3寄り切り49%vs51%
錦富士Maegashira #7+8.8
若元春Maegashira #11+8.9押し出し59%vs41%
一山本Maegashira #6−8.0
朝乃山Maegashira #6+8.1寄り切り45%vs55%
美ノ海Maegashira #3−11
狼雅Maegashira #5−5.8寄り切り30%vs70%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2+5.9
琴勝峰Maegashira #1−10不戦51%vs49%
藤凌駕Maegashira #4+9.7
隆の勝Maegashira #4−8.3寄り切り48%vs52%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1+9.6
伯乃富士Komusubi−9.1押し出し53%vs47%
豪ノ山Maegashira #3+11
高安Maegashira #2+8.9突き出し56%vs44%
大栄翔Komusubi−8.0
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−6.1押し出し29%vs71%
琴櫻Ozeki+5.3
霧島Ozeki−13押し倒し60%vs40%
藤ノ川Sekiwake+12
安青錦Ozeki+2.9寄り切り83%vs17%
金峰山Maegashira #10−3.4
大の里Yokozuna+7.3下手出し投げ62%vs38%
熱海富士Sekiwake−9.0
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).