TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 13 REVIEW
Onosato lost to Kirishima by underarm throw and is 11-2, so the title decision waits; Kirishima is 7-6. Aonishiki slapped down Kotozakura for 10-3, seven straight, and Asanoyama forced out Atamifuji for 10-3 — both one behind. Kotozakura is 8-5 and Atamifuji, three straight losses, also 8-5. Fujinokawa was pushed out by Minoumi, both now 9-4. Takanosho withdrew, a walkover for Hakunofuji. Ura slapped down Fujiseiun and Wakamotoharu slapped down Hiradoumi, both 9-4. Takayasu pushed out Gonoyama and Fujiryoga pushed out Daieisho. After thirteen days Onosato is 11-2, Aonishiki and Asanoyama 10-3, and four men 9-4: Fujinokawa, Minoumi, Ura and Wakamotoharu. On day fourteen Onosato clinches if he beats Kotozakura and both Aonishiki and Asanoyama lose. In juryo Kagayaki lost to Namatame for 11-2 and Kayo lost to Mitakeumi for 10-3.
Juryo
14 bouts
錦木Juryo #14−7.7掬い投げ39%vs61%
日翔志Juryo #11+6.8
時不動Juryo #13−7.5寄り切り42%vs58%
丹治Juryo #10+7.1
生田目Juryo #10+6.8突き落とし55%vs45%
輝Juryo #11−8.2
玉正鳳Juryo #12−7.8押し出し43%vs57%
東白龍Juryo #9+7.8
炎鵬Juryo #9+7.7押し出し58%vs42%
栃大海Juryo #14−7.0
佐田の海Juryo #5−7.9掬い投げ44%vs56%
明生Juryo #13+9.2
嘉陽Juryo #12−8.7突き落とし56%vs44%
御嶽海Juryo #4+7.6
風賢央Juryo #4−9.7叩き込み64%vs36%
羽出山Juryo #8+11
友風Juryo #7−6.0寄り切り35%vs65%
阿武剋Juryo #3+6.7
玉鷲Juryo #3+6.1掬い投げ58%vs42%
竜電Juryo #8−8.2
嵐富士Juryo #5+9.1送り出し55%vs45%
一意Juryo #2−8.6
大青山Juryo #2−9.9寄り切り48%vs52%
北の若Juryo #6+8.5
白熊Juryo #6−7.1寄り切り41%vs59%
旭海雄Juryo #1+7.5
出羽ノ龍Juryo #1+7.8浴せ倒し60%vs40%
翠富士Juryo #7−7.4
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).