TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 13 REVIEW
Onosato lost to Kirishima by underarm throw and is 11-2, so the title decision waits; Kirishima is 7-6. Aonishiki slapped down Kotozakura for 10-3, seven straight, and Asanoyama forced out Atamifuji for 10-3 — both one behind. Kotozakura is 8-5 and Atamifuji, three straight losses, also 8-5. Fujinokawa was pushed out by Minoumi, both now 9-4. Takanosho withdrew, a walkover for Hakunofuji. Ura slapped down Fujiseiun and Wakamotoharu slapped down Hiradoumi, both 9-4. Takayasu pushed out Gonoyama and Fujiryoga pushed out Daieisho. After thirteen days Onosato is 11-2, Aonishiki and Asanoyama 10-3, and four men 9-4: Fujinokawa, Minoumi, Ura and Wakamotoharu. On day fourteen Onosato clinches if he beats Kotozakura and both Aonishiki and Asanoyama lose. In juryo Kagayaki lost to Namatame for 11-2 and Kayo lost to Mitakeumi for 10-3.
Makuuchi
19 bouts
寿之富士Maegashira #16+8.1押し出し52%vs48%
阿炎Maegashira #13−9.0
時疾風Maegashira #15+8.5上手投げ47%vs53%
朝白龍Maegashira #12−9.5
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−7.2寄り切り49%vs51%
正代Maegashira #11+9.7
王鵬Maegashira #10+7.3引き落とし66%vs34%
翔猿Maegashira #14−5.6
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−6.0叩き込み36%vs64%
獅司Maegashira #9+6.9
若元春Maegashira #11+9.2叩き込み46%vs54%
平戸海Maegashira #8−10
尊富士Maegashira #8+6.9寄り切り56%vs44%
金峰山Maegashira #10−8.1
朝紅龍Maegashira #13+8.4下手投げ53%vs47%
錦富士Maegashira #7−8.5
藤青雲Maegashira #7−9.6肩透かし50%vs50%
宇良Maegashira #9+7.9
朝翠龍Maegashira #15+9.8叩き込み54%vs46%
一山本Maegashira #6−7.6
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−5.6押し出し28%vs72%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2+5.4
高安Maegashira #2+7.4押し出し58%vs42%
豪ノ山Maegashira #3−6.9
狼雅Maegashira #5−6.5寄り倒し42%vs58%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1+7.6
藤凌駕Maegashira #4+9.8押し出し51%vs49%
大栄翔Komusubi−9.6
伯乃富士Komusubi+8.2不戦56%vs44%
隆の勝Maegashira #4−6.7
美ノ海Maegashira #3+8.5押し出し42%vs58%
藤ノ川Sekiwake−11
熱海富士Sekiwake−13寄り切り64%vs36%
朝乃山Maegashira #6+11
安青錦Ozeki+5.2肩透かし69%vs31%
琴櫻Ozeki−5.6
大の里Yokozuna−8.4下手投げ54%vs46%
霧島Ozeki+8.8
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).