TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 14 REVIEW
Onosato was thrust down by Kotozakura, a second straight loss, 11-3. Aonishiki forced down Kirishima for an eighth straight win, also 11-3, and the two share the lead. The last bout of senshuraku is Onosato against Aonishiki, winner takes the title. Asanoyama was thrust down by Fujinokawa for 10-4 and is out of the race; Fujinokawa is 10-4 as a new sekiwake. Kotozakura is 9-5, Kirishima 7-7. Atamifuji lost to Roga's overarm throw, a fourth straight defeat, 8-6. Wakamotoharu forced out Takerufuji for 10-4. Minoumi was slapped down by Takayasu for 9-5. After fourteen days Onosato and Aonishiki are 11-3 and Wakamotoharu, Asanoyama and Fujinokawa 10-4. In juryo Kagayaki was thrust down by Tamawashi for 11-3; Tamawashi, nine straight, is 10-4 and one behind, as is Kayo.
Juryo
14 bouts
栃大海Juryo #14−7.7突き落とし44%vs56%
碇潟Makushita #4+10
生田目Juryo #10+6.2叩き込み65%vs35%
明生Juryo #13−5.8
時不動Juryo #13+9.7押し倒し53%vs47%
羽出山Juryo #8−7.7
北の若Juryo #6+5.6小手投げ59%vs41%
嘉陽Juryo #12−7.9
玉正鳳Juryo #12−6.3押し出し41%vs59%
白熊Juryo #6+7.1
佐田の海Juryo #5+8.6寄り切り50%vs50%
錦木Juryo #14−7.0
日翔志Juryo #11−7.1押し出し37%vs63%
嵐富士Juryo #5+5.6
風賢央Juryo #4+6.6押し出し58%vs42%
東白龍Juryo #9−7.0
翠富士Juryo #7+8.2寄り切り58%vs42%
御嶽海Juryo #4−6.9
玉鷲Juryo #3+5.9突き落とし54%vs46%
輝Juryo #11−8.7
丹治Juryo #10−7.5足取り43%vs57%
阿武剋Juryo #3+6.5
友風Juryo #7+11押し出し37%vs63%
一意Juryo #2−9.9
出羽ノ龍Juryo #1+6.2寄り倒し65%vs35%
炎鵬Juryo #9−6.7
竜電Juryo #8+9.7勇み足41%vs59%
旭海雄Juryo #1−11
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).