TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 14 REVIEW
Onosato was thrust down by Kotozakura, a second straight loss, 11-3. Aonishiki forced down Kirishima for an eighth straight win, also 11-3, and the two share the lead. The last bout of senshuraku is Onosato against Aonishiki, winner takes the title. Asanoyama was thrust down by Fujinokawa for 10-4 and is out of the race; Fujinokawa is 10-4 as a new sekiwake. Kotozakura is 9-5, Kirishima 7-7. Atamifuji lost to Roga's overarm throw, a fourth straight defeat, 8-6. Wakamotoharu forced out Takerufuji for 10-4. Minoumi was slapped down by Takayasu for 9-5. After fourteen days Onosato and Aonishiki are 11-3 and Wakamotoharu, Asanoyama and Fujinokawa 10-4. In juryo Kagayaki was thrust down by Tamawashi for 11-3; Tamawashi, nine straight, is 10-4 and one behind, as is Kayo.
Makuuchi
19 bouts
朝翠龍Maegashira #15+7.2押し出し58%vs42%
大青山Juryo #2−7.3
翔猿Maegashira #14−6.9押し出し36%vs64%
寿之富士Maegashira #16+7.2
王鵬Maegashira #10+6.5小手投げ66%vs34%
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−5.0
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−6.1寄り切り32%vs68%
金峰山Maegashira #10+6.7
宇良Maegashira #9−9.0押し出し51%vs49%
朝紅龍Maegashira #13+7.6
阿炎Maegashira #13−7.7下手投げ48%vs52%
獅司Maegashira #9+7.7
尊富士Maegashira #8−10寄り切り54%vs46%
若元春Maegashira #11+8.7
時疾風Maegashira #15−6.5突き出し37%vs63%
平戸海Maegashira #8+6.0
藤青雲Maegashira #7−9.8突き落とし57%vs43%
朝白龍Maegashira #12+8.9
豪ノ山Maegashira #3+5.9寄り切り74%vs26%
正代Maegashira #11−4.4
高安Maegashira #2+6.7叩き込み50%vs50%
美ノ海Maegashira #3−8.2
藤凌駕Maegashira #4−7.3寄り切り41%vs59%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2+6.5
錦富士Maegashira #7+10寄り切り41%vs59%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1−9.7
伯乃富士Komusubi−10押し出し68%vs32%
一山本Maegashira #6+13
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−5.6掬い投げ37%vs63%
大栄翔Komusubi+6.2
熱海富士Sekiwake−13上手投げ75%vs25%
狼雅Maegashira #5+13
朝乃山Maegashira #6−8.2突き落とし37%vs63%
藤ノ川Sekiwake+5.8
霧島Ozeki−8.4寄り倒し45%vs55%
安青錦Ozeki+9.2
大の里Yokozuna−12突き落とし68%vs32%
琴櫻Ozeki+11
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).