TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 2 REVIEW
Every man at the top won again. Onosato absorbed Kotoshoho's charge and drove forward for a push-out, correcting the pulling of day one for his first 2-0 start in four tournaments. Kirishima, chasing the rope, took both belt grips on new komusubi Hakunofuji and forced him down after more than a minute. Aonishiki forced out Takayasu, Kotozakura threw Yoshinofuji and Atamifuji, on an ozeki run, pushed out Minoumi, so the three ozeki and the sekiwake are all 2-0. New sekiwake Fujinokawa, by contrast, got both arms inside on Kotoeiho and was still turned and forced down for his first loss — Kotoeiho's first win. Both komusubi are 0-2 after Daieisho fell to Gonoyama's arm-pull and Hakunofuji lost to Kirishima. The brothers Asasuiryu and Asakoryu won again, as did Asanoyama, Takerufuji and Takanosho; fourteen makuuchi men are 2-0. In juryo, makushita-top Asahifuji stepped up to the sekitori ring and lost to Tochitaikai by overarm throw, his first defeat since his name appeared on a banzuke.
Juryo
14 bouts
栃大海Juryo #14+17上手投げ20%vs80%旭旭富士Makushita #1−32
明生Juryo #13+11寄り倒し56%vs44%
錦木Juryo #14−10
時不動Juryo #13−12寄り切り42%vs58%
嘉陽Juryo #12+11
輝Juryo #11+10押し出し63%vs37%
玉正鳳Juryo #12−10
日翔志Juryo #11−11押し出し47%vs53%
丹治Juryo #10+11
炎鵬Juryo #9−13叩き込み51%vs49%
東白龍Juryo #9+13
生田目Juryo #10+9.2突き出し67%vs33%
羽出山Juryo #8−9.0
翠富士Juryo #7+9.0肩透かし55%vs45%
竜電Juryo #8−9.0
友風Juryo #7−9.8寄り切り44%vs56%
白熊Juryo #6+9.8
佐田の海Juryo #5−9.9寄り切り27%vs73%
北の若Juryo #6+9.1
嵐富士Juryo #5+11押し出し65%vs35%
御嶽海Juryo #4−9.8
玉鷲Juryo #3−11引き落とし52%vs48%
風賢央Juryo #4+11
阿武剋Juryo #3+13寄り切り52%vs48%
一意Juryo #2−13
出羽ノ龍Juryo #1−12上手投げ55%vs45%
大青山Juryo #2+11
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).