TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 2 REVIEW
Every man at the top won again. Onosato absorbed Kotoshoho's charge and drove forward for a push-out, correcting the pulling of day one for his first 2-0 start in four tournaments. Kirishima, chasing the rope, took both belt grips on new komusubi Hakunofuji and forced him down after more than a minute. Aonishiki forced out Takayasu, Kotozakura threw Yoshinofuji and Atamifuji, on an ozeki run, pushed out Minoumi, so the three ozeki and the sekiwake are all 2-0. New sekiwake Fujinokawa, by contrast, got both arms inside on Kotoeiho and was still turned and forced down for his first loss — Kotoeiho's first win. Both komusubi are 0-2 after Daieisho fell to Gonoyama's arm-pull and Hakunofuji lost to Kirishima. The brothers Asasuiryu and Asakoryu won again, as did Asanoyama, Takerufuji and Takanosho; fourteen makuuchi men are 2-0. In juryo, makushita-top Asahifuji stepped up to the sekitori ring and lost to Tochitaikai by overarm throw, his first defeat since his name appeared on a banzuke.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
旭海雄Juryo #1−9.8寄り切り41%vs59%
寿之富士Maegashira #16+11
朝翠龍Maegashira #15+9.8寄り切り65%vs35%
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−9.7
時疾風Maegashira #15+10押し出し59%vs41%
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−10
朝紅龍Maegashira #13+9.9押し出し56%vs44%
阿炎Maegashira #13−9.8
翔猿Maegashira #14−10押し出し38%vs62%
朝白龍Maegashira #12+10
王鵬Maegashira #10+9.1寄り切り67%vs33%
正代Maegashira #11−8.4
若元春Maegashira #11−12押し出し52%vs48%
金峰山Maegashira #10+11
尊富士Maegashira #8+9.7押し出し59%vs41%
獅司Maegashira #9−9.7
宇良Maegashira #9−9.9押し出し46%vs54%
平戸海Maegashira #8+9.9
朝乃山Maegashira #6+9.5掬い投げ63%vs37%
錦富士Maegashira #7−9.4
藤青雲Maegashira #7+12肩透かし59%vs41%
一山本Maegashira #6−12
隆の勝Maegashira #4+8.7押し出し58%vs42%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−9.4
狼雅Maegashira #5+13上手投げ38%vs62%
藤凌駕Maegashira #4−13
豪ノ山Maegashira #3+13引っ掛け48%vs52%
大栄翔Komusubi−13
熱海富士Sekiwake+6.7押し出し59%vs41%
美ノ海Maegashira #3−7.2
琴栄峰Maegashira #1+13寄り倒し33%vs67%
藤ノ川Sekiwake−13
霧島Ozeki+6.3寄り倒し71%vs29%
伯乃富士Komusubi−6.1
安青錦Ozeki+7.1寄り切り71%vs29%
高安Maegashira #2−6.9
義ノ富士Maegashira #2−11上手投げ51%vs49%
琴櫻Ozeki+11
大の里Yokozuna+7.0押し出し73%vs27%
琴勝峰Maegashira #1−7.1
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).