TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 3 REVIEW
The first losses at the top. Kirishima, chasing the rope, was pulled down by Takayasu — his first loss inside three days in three tournaments. Atamifuji, on an ozeki run, flew out to Takanosho's thrust-down at the edge, his third straight loss to him. Onosato, by contrast, pushed first-time opponent Kotoeiho straight out for his first 3-0 start since January; Aonishiki was spun around by Kotoshoho but turned back and won by leg-trip, and Kotozakura slapped Daieisho down at the edge, so the yokozuna and two ozeki are unbeaten. New sekiwake Fujinokawa pushed out Gonoyama for a second win. Both komusubi, Daieisho and Hakunofuji, are 0-3, as are Yoshinofuji and Kotoshoho — nobody drawing the top ranks has won yet. Takanosho, Fujiseiun and Asakoryu are 3-0 in the ranks; Asakoryu's brother Asasuiryu lost the all-debutant bout to Kotobukinofuji's overarm throw, Kotobukinofuji's first win. Six men are 3-0: the yokozuna, two ozeki, Takanosho, Fujiseiun and Asakoryu.
Juryo
14 bouts
日向丸Makushita #2−11寄り切り46%vs54%
時不動Juryo #13+11
明生Juryo #13−11叩き込み53%vs47%
栃大海Juryo #14+10
玉正鳳Juryo #12−11寄り切り53%vs47%
錦木Juryo #14+12
嘉陽Juryo #12+10とったり54%vs46%
日翔志Juryo #11−11
輝Juryo #11+11押し出し56%vs44%
東白龍Juryo #9−11
炎鵬Juryo #9+13押し出し40%vs60%
生田目Juryo #10−14
丹治Juryo #10+12寄り切り60%vs40%
羽出山Juryo #8−11
翠富士Juryo #7+8.9送り出し62%vs38%
友風Juryo #7−8.1
竜電Juryo #8+13押し出し51%vs49%
白熊Juryo #6−13
佐田の海Juryo #5−8.6引き落とし27%vs73%
嵐富士Juryo #5+8.5
北の若Juryo #6+9.9押し出し65%vs35%
御嶽海Juryo #4−9.9
玉鷲Juryo #3−9.4寄り切り49%vs51%
阿武剋Juryo #3+10.0
風賢央Juryo #4+12突き落とし49%vs51%
一意Juryo #2−13
出羽ノ龍Juryo #1−11寄り切り56%vs44%
旭海雄Juryo #1+12
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).