TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 3 REVIEW
The first losses at the top. Kirishima, chasing the rope, was pulled down by Takayasu — his first loss inside three days in three tournaments. Atamifuji, on an ozeki run, flew out to Takanosho's thrust-down at the edge, his third straight loss to him. Onosato, by contrast, pushed first-time opponent Kotoeiho straight out for his first 3-0 start since January; Aonishiki was spun around by Kotoshoho but turned back and won by leg-trip, and Kotozakura slapped Daieisho down at the edge, so the yokozuna and two ozeki are unbeaten. New sekiwake Fujinokawa pushed out Gonoyama for a second win. Both komusubi, Daieisho and Hakunofuji, are 0-3, as are Yoshinofuji and Kotoshoho — nobody drawing the top ranks has won yet. Takanosho, Fujiseiun and Asakoryu are 3-0 in the ranks; Asakoryu's brother Asasuiryu lost the all-debutant bout to Kotobukinofuji's overarm throw, Kotobukinofuji's first win. Six men are 3-0: the yokozuna, two ozeki, Takanosho, Fujiseiun and Asakoryu.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
大青山Juryo #2+11寄り切り46%vs54%
時疾風Maegashira #15−12
朝翠龍Maegashira #15−12上手投げ50%vs50%
寿之富士Maegashira #16+12
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−11上手出し投げ48%vs52%
千代翔馬Maegashira #14+13
翔猿Maegashira #14−9.7押し出し38%vs62%
阿炎Maegashira #13+11
朝紅龍Maegashira #13+8.8押し出し68%vs32%
正代Maegashira #11−8.9
若元春Maegashira #11+11寄り切り57%vs43%
朝白龍Maegashira #12−11
金峰山Maegashira #10−11寄り切り53%vs47%
獅司Maegashira #9+11
宇良Maegashira #9+13とったり52%vs48%
王鵬Maegashira #10−12
平戸海Maegashira #8−12突き落とし58%vs42%
錦富士Maegashira #7+13
藤青雲Maegashira #7+12切り返し46%vs54%
尊富士Maegashira #8−13
一山本Maegashira #6−11押し出し46%vs54%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+12
狼雅Maegashira #5+13押し出し38%vs62%
朝乃山Maegashira #6−13
美ノ海Maegashira #3+13押し出し46%vs54%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2−12
伯乃富士Komusubi−13押し倒し50%vs50%
藤凌駕Maegashira #4+14
豪ノ山Maegashira #3−10押し出し35%vs65%
藤ノ川Sekiwake+10
熱海富士Sekiwake−16突き落とし70%vs30%
隆の勝Maegashira #4+15
大栄翔Komusubi−11叩き込み41%vs59%
琴櫻Ozeki+10
霧島Ozeki−17引き落とし67%vs33%
高安Maegashira #2+17
安青錦Ozeki+5.7渡し込み75%vs25%
琴勝峰Maegashira #1−5.7
大の里Yokozuna+6.3押し出し78%vs22%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1−6.9
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).