TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 13 REVIEW
Day 13 belonged to Aonishiki. In the showdown of co-leaders, as rope-chasing Kirishima drove hard off the charge, Aonishiki read it coolly and slapped him down by the shoulder — the kind of win his dominant career record over the ozeki had foreshadowed. Back alone in front at 11-2, he took a long stride toward the title, while Kirishima's third loss dims his yokozuna bid. The chase pack tore into each other too: Onosato forced out the in-form Takerufuji in a show of yokozuna pride, Kotozakura beat Shishi with a pulling underarm throw for a second straight win over a leader, and Atamifuji toppled Hoshoryu to join the group at 10-3. Four men — Kirishima, Atamifuji, Takerufuji and Shishi — now sit one behind. Day 14 brings Takerufuji against Aonishiki, and an elimination bout between Atamifuji and Shishi. Two days from the end, Nagoya is taut with tension.
Juryo
14 bouts
栃大海Juryo #14+2.4叩き込み58%vs42%
時不動Makushita #2−3.3
丹治Makushita #1+5.0寄り倒し41%vs59%
嘉陽Juryo #12−3.2
日翔志Juryo #10−2.9寄り切り51%vs49%
玉正鳳Juryo #10+2.8
輝Juryo #11+2.4小手投げ57%vs43%
西ノ龍Juryo #9−2.6
湘南乃海Juryo #6+2.4上手投げ54%vs46%
白熊Juryo #9−2.7
北の若Juryo #5+2.4上手投げ57%vs43%
錦木Juryo #14−2.3
東白龍Juryo #12+3.1送り出し38%vs62%
寿之富士Juryo #4−5.3
友風Juryo #4+2.6押し倒し50%vs50%
炎鵬Juryo #11−3.6
嵐富士Juryo #13−4.2送り出し45%vs55%
出羽ノ龍Juryo #3+2.4
竜電Juryo #3−2.8肩透かし53%vs47%
羽出山Juryo #8+3.2
明生Juryo #7+2.7叩き込み50%vs50%
佐田の海Juryo #2−2.4
時疾風Juryo #2−2.5小手投げ47%vs53%
玉鷲Juryo #7+2.5
風賢央Juryo #6−2.4押し出し43%vs57%
旭海雄Juryo #1+3.1
朝翠龍Juryo #1+3.4寄り切り54%vs46%
翠富士Juryo #8−2.8
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).