TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 13 REVIEW
Day 13 belonged to Aonishiki. In the showdown of co-leaders, as rope-chasing Kirishima drove hard off the charge, Aonishiki read it coolly and slapped him down by the shoulder — the kind of win his dominant career record over the ozeki had foreshadowed. Back alone in front at 11-2, he took a long stride toward the title, while Kirishima's third loss dims his yokozuna bid. The chase pack tore into each other too: Onosato forced out the in-form Takerufuji in a show of yokozuna pride, Kotozakura beat Shishi with a pulling underarm throw for a second straight win over a leader, and Atamifuji toppled Hoshoryu to join the group at 10-3. Four men — Kirishima, Atamifuji, Takerufuji and Shishi — now sit one behind. Day 14 brings Takerufuji against Aonishiki, and an elimination bout between Atamifuji and Shishi. Two days from the end, Nagoya is taut with tension.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
朝白龍Maegashira #12−2.8寄り切り49%vs51%
阿武剋Maegashira #15+3.0
一意Maegashira #15−6.3寄り切り59%vs41%
御嶽海Maegashira #11+3.4
金峰山Maegashira #14+2.5下手捻り54%vs46%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−2.5
大青山Maegashira #16−2.5押し出し45%vs55%
翔猿Maegashira #9+2.3
若元春Maegashira #8−3.2突き落とし58%vs42%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+3.3
錦富士Maegashira #13+2.8上手投げ50%vs50%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−2.9
正代Maegashira #6−2.3突き倒し45%vs55%
阿炎Maegashira #12+2.6
朝乃山Maegashira #10+2.3上手投げ66%vs34%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−1.7
宇良Maegashira #5−2.4押し倒し43%vs57%
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+3.9
狼雅Maegashira #8+2.8下手投げ48%vs52%
一山本Maegashira #4−2.9
豪ノ山Maegashira #2+3.0押し出し43%vs57%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3−3.3
大栄翔Maegashira #4+2.3押し出し59%vs41%
隆の勝Maegashira #1−2.3
藤ノ川Maegashira #1−3.2押し倒し54%vs46%
美ノ海Maegashira #2+2.9
平戸海Maegashira #3+3.0寄り切り49%vs51%
王鵬Komusubi−2.7
義ノ富士Komusubi+2.1押し出し63%vs37%
琴栄峰Maegashira #7−1.9
高安Maegashira #7−3.7送り出し62%vs38%
琴勝峰Sekiwake+3.2
獅司Maegashira #14−1.7下手出し投げ32%vs68%
琴櫻Ozeki+1.6
霧島Ozeki−2.7肩透かし48%vs52%
安青錦Sekiwake+3.0
尊富士Maegashira #13−1.9寄り切り30%vs70%
大の里Yokozuna+1.9
豊昇龍Yokozuna−4.1寄り倒し63%vs37%
熱海富士Sekiwake+3.5
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).