TORIKUMI

July Basho 2026 — Bouts

All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.

DAY 13 REVIEW

Day 13 belonged to Aonishiki. In the showdown of co-leaders, as rope-chasing Kirishima drove hard off the charge, Aonishiki read it coolly and slapped him down by the shoulder — the kind of win his dominant career record over the ozeki had foreshadowed. Back alone in front at 11-2, he took a long stride toward the title, while Kirishima's third loss dims his yokozuna bid. The chase pack tore into each other too: Onosato forced out the in-form Takerufuji in a show of yokozuna pride, Kotozakura beat Shishi with a pulling underarm throw for a second straight win over a leader, and Atamifuji toppled Hoshoryu to join the group at 10-3. Four men — Kirishima, Atamifuji, Takerufuji and Shishi — now sit one behind. Day 14 brings Takerufuji against Aonishiki, and an elimination bout between Atamifuji and Shishi. Two days from the end, Nagoya is taut with tension.

Makuuchi

20 bouts

Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).