TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 10 REVIEW
Day 10, and Aonishiki would not be stopped. A day after beating Onosato, the 22-year-old took on the other yokozuna, Hoshoryu — a low, sharp charge, a left overarm grip, and a spinning throw that sent the yokozuna to the clay. Back-to-back yokozuna scalps, a ninth win, and — despite visibly dragging his injured left foot — he now stands one win from the ten that would restore him to ozeki. Level with him on one loss is Kotoeiho, who has not lost since opening day: nine straight wins, the latest over Abi with a rare twisting backward knee trip. The unheralded man from Chiba (Sadogatake stable) has fought his way into the heart of the title race. Among the two-loss group, Kirishima forced out Hakunofuji to stay alive, while Asanoyama, Takayasu and Takerufuji all won; Shishi fell to Asahakuryu for a second straight defeat. The yokozuna again went separate ways — Onosato bowled over Daieisho, Hoshoryu took a fourth loss. Heading into the final days, Nagoya is shaping into a two-man race.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
金峰山Maegashira #14寄り切り54%vs46%
大青山Maegashira #16
錦富士Maegashira #13寄り切り46%vs54%
阿武剋Maegashira #15
朝白龍Maegashira #12寄り切り52%vs48%
獅司Maegashira #14
朝紅龍Maegashira #16押し出し50%vs50%
御嶽海Maegashira #11
尊富士Maegashira #13寄り切り63%vs37%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10
若元春Maegashira #8突き落とし47%vs53%
一意Maegashira #15
琴栄峰Maegashira #7切り返し43%vs57%
阿炎Maegashira #12
翔猿Maegashira #9突き出し34%vs66%
高安Maegashira #7
正代Maegashira #6送り出し53%vs47%
狼雅Maegashira #8
朝乃山Maegashira #10寄り切り66%vs34%
藤青雲Maegashira #6
藤凌駕Maegashira #9押し出し59%vs41%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5
平戸海Maegashira #3突き落とし51%vs49%
宇良Maegashira #5
藤ノ川Maegashira #1突き出し50%vs50%
隆の勝Maegashira #1
義ノ富士Komusubi押し出し63%vs37%
豪ノ山Maegashira #2
一山本Maegashira #4寄り切り46%vs54%
琴勝峰Sekiwake
熱海富士Sekiwake寄り切り61%vs39%
美ノ海Maegashira #2
霧島Ozeki寄り切り65%vs35%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3
王鵬Komusubi上手捻り40%vs60%
琴櫻Ozeki
豊昇龍Yokozuna上手投げ51%vs49%
安青錦Sekiwake
大栄翔Maegashira #4浴せ倒し33%vs67%
大の里Yokozuna
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace.