TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 9 REVIEW
Day 9 was a day of historic upsets in Nagoya: both yokozuna and both ozeki lost. The headline belonged, once again, to Aonishiki. He beat yokozuna Onosato for the first time in his career with a crisp overarm pulling throw, securing his winning record and holding his place at the front. 'The sumo itself wasn't good, but my body reacted well,' he said calmly — now just two wins from the ten he needs for his special return to ozeki. Hoshoryu was forced out by new komusubi Yoshinofuji, who has now beaten both yokozuna this tournament. Kirishima was thrust down by Churanoumi to fall two back, and Kotozakura lost yet again, thrown by the relentless Hakunofuji. Sekiwake Atamifuji and Kotoshoho both held firm with wins. Three men — Aonishiki, Kotoeiho and Shishi — now share the lead with one loss apiece. Entering the final stretch, the title race belongs to a sekiwake and two rank-and-filers, while the sport's highest ranks endure a brutal day.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
朝紅龍Maegashira #16寄り切り38%vs62%
尊富士Maegashira #13
獅司Maegashira #14押し出し42%vs58%
阿炎Maegashira #12
朝白龍Maegashira #12寄り切り51%vs49%
金峰山Maegashira #14
阿武剋Maegashira #15叩き込み55%vs45%
御嶽海Maegashira #11
一意Maegashira #15肩透かし63%vs37%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10
朝乃山Maegashira #10寄り切り71%vs29%
大青山Maegashira #16
錦富士Maegashira #13渡し込み32%vs68%
高安Maegashira #7
琴栄峰Maegashira #7寄り倒し40%vs60%
藤凌駕Maegashira #9
翔猿Maegashira #9寄り倒し50%vs50%
藤青雲Maegashira #6
狼雅Maegashira #8押し出し48%vs52%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5
宇良Maegashira #5押し出し47%vs53%
若元春Maegashira #8
大栄翔Maegashira #4突き出し64%vs36%
正代Maegashira #6
豪ノ山Maegashira #2押し出し48%vs52%
隆の勝Maegashira #1
藤ノ川Maegashira #1掬い投げ48%vs52%
王鵬Komusubi
平戸海Maegashira #3突き落とし48%vs52%
琴勝峰Sekiwake
熱海富士Sekiwake押し出し60%vs40%
一山本Maegashira #4
伯乃富士Maegashira #3上手投げ43%vs57%
琴櫻Ozeki
霧島Ozeki突き落とし74%vs26%
美ノ海Maegashira #2
安青錦Sekiwake上手出し投げ47%vs53%
大の里Yokozuna
豊昇龍Yokozuna寄り切り63%vs37%
義ノ富士Komusubi
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace.