TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 8 REVIEW
The middle Sunday thinned the seven-man lead pack down to four. Aonishiki pushed out Takanosho and Kirishima drove out the in-form Atamifuji to stay in front, while the two outsiders refused to fade: Kotoeiho, in just his third top-division tournament, pushed out Ichiyamamoto, and Shishi — beaten for the first time only a day earlier — steadied himself against Kinbozan. Takayasu fell to Ura's quick attack, Takerufuji was pushed out by Mitakeumi, and Nishikifuji lost to Kazuma, all dropping off the pace. Four men at 7-1 — Aonishiki, Kirishima, Kotoeiho and Shishi — lead Hoshoryu, Asanoyama and the 6-2 group into the second week. Both yokozuna won: Hoshoryu handled Daieisho, and Onosato forced out Oho. Kotozakura stopped his slide against Hiratoumi, and Yoshinofuji beat Fujinokawa with a rare outside leg trip. A sekiwake chasing his ozeki rank back, an ozeki chasing the rope, and two men from the bottom half of the banzuke — Nagoya's title race enters the second half in a shape nobody predicted.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
大青山Maegashira #16下手投げ47%vs53%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16
金峰山Maegashira #14寄り切り51%vs49%
獅司Maegashira #14
錦富士Maegashira #13突き落とし38%vs62%
一意Maegashira #15
尊富士Maegashira #13押し出し62%vs38%
御嶽海Maegashira #11
朝乃山Maegashira #10寄り切り64%vs36%
阿武剋Maegashira #15
阿炎Maegashira #12押し出し59%vs41%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10
朝白龍Maegashira #12蹴返し49%vs51%
翔猿Maegashira #9
正代Maegashira #6上手投げ42%vs58%
藤凌駕Maegashira #9
狼雅Maegashira #8上手投げ47%vs53%
藤青雲Maegashira #6
宇良Maegashira #5押し出し37%vs63%
高安Maegashira #7
若元春Maegashira #8押し出し58%vs42%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5
琴栄峰Maegashira #7押し出し47%vs53%
一山本Maegashira #4
豪ノ山Maegashira #2押し出し53%vs47%
美ノ海Maegashira #2
義ノ富士Komusubi外掛け61%vs39%
藤ノ川Maegashira #1
隆の勝Maegashira #1押し出し29%vs71%
安青錦Sekiwake
伯乃富士Maegashira #3突き落とし54%vs46%
琴勝峰Sekiwake
霧島Ozeki押し出し64%vs36%
熱海富士Sekiwake
平戸海Maegashira #3引き落とし37%vs63%
琴櫻Ozeki
豊昇龍Yokozuna押し出し64%vs36%
大栄翔Maegashira #4
王鵬Komusubi寄り切り28%vs72%
大の里Yokozuna
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace.