TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 3 REVIEW
Day 3, and Fujinokawa made history again. Fresh off beating Onosato the day before, the young man pushed down yokozuna Hoshoryu for a second straight kinboshi — reportedly the first post-war wrestler to take a kinboshi in each of his first four bouts against a yokozuna — the last to win four straight over yokozuna was Musashiyama in 1931. For the two yokozuna it has been a bruising open: Hoshoryu suffered his first loss, and while Onosato ended his skid by pushing out Takanosho, he remains in a hole. Out front are the unbeaten men — yokozuna-hopeful ozeki Kirishima, ozeki-chasing sekiwake Aonishiki, sekiwake Atamifuji and Kotoshoho, and veteran Takayasu — spreading the title race from the sanyaku down through the ranks. With both yokozuna stumbling early, Nagoya is shaping up as a wide-open scramble.
Makuuchi
21 bouts
時疾風Juryo #2寄り切り34%vs66%
一意Maegashira #15
阿武剋Maegashira #15寄り切り55%vs45%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16
大青山Maegashira #16寄り切り47%vs53%
獅司Maegashira #14
錦富士Maegashira #13寄り切り49%vs51%
金峰山Maegashira #14
尊富士Maegashira #13押し倒し54%vs46%
阿炎Maegashira #12
若ノ勝Maegashira #11送り出し49%vs51%
朝白龍Maegashira #12
御嶽海Maegashira #11寄り切り51%vs49%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10
藤凌駕Maegashira #9押し倒し42%vs58%
朝乃山Maegashira #10
翔猿Maegashira #9寄り切り53%vs47%
狼雅Maegashira #8
琴栄峰Maegashira #7寄り切り42%vs58%
若元春Maegashira #8
高安Maegashira #7叩き込み66%vs34%
藤青雲Maegashira #6
宇良Maegashira #5寄り倒し53%vs47%
正代Maegashira #6
欧勝馬Maegashira #5押し出し47%vs53%
一山本Maegashira #4
平戸海Maegashira #3引き落とし40%vs60%
大栄翔Maegashira #4
義ノ富士Komusubi押し出し60%vs40%
琴勝峰Sekiwake
熱海富士Sekiwake上手出し投げ54%vs46%
王鵬Komusubi
伯乃富士Maegashira #3寄り切り33%vs67%
安青錦Sekiwake
美ノ海Maegashira #2押し出し34%vs66%
琴櫻Ozeki
霧島Ozeki押し出し71%vs29%
豪ノ山Maegashira #2
隆の勝Maegashira #1押し出し26%vs74%
大の里Yokozuna
豊昇龍Yokozuna突き落とし72%vs28%
藤ノ川Maegashira #1
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace.