TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 15 REVIEW
The final day kept its secret until the very end. Aonishiki, alone at the top, met sekiwake Atamifuji two bouts from the finish — and was pushed out, unable to settle it there. Moments later ozeki Kirishima forced out Kotozakura for his twelfth win, and with three men tied at 12-3 the championship went to a playoff. It was Aonishiki who came through it, avenging his regular-bout defeat and lifting his third Emperor's Cup. Having sat out the previous tournament entirely on kadoban, he needed ten wins for a special return to ozeki — and became the first wrestler in history to secure that return and the championship in the same basho. The 22-year-old had beaten both yokozuna on consecutive days while nursing an injured left foot, and when asked about it afterwards he simply said, 'Let's talk about the sumo.' Atamifuji and Kirishima both finished on twelve wins, Onosato closed with nine after pushing down Kotoshoho, and Hoshoryu ended the tournament withdrawn. Fifteen days that belonged to a young man from Ukraine.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
佐田の海Juryo #2−1.6押し出し37%vs63%
一意Maegashira #15+4.3
金峰山Maegashira #14+2.5寄り切り55%vs45%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−2.4
錦富士Maegashira #13+2.6押し出し54%vs46%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−2.5
藤凌駕Maegashira #9−5.4送り出し62%vs38%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+3.3
獅司Maegashira #14−2.7寄り倒し49%vs51%
狼雅Maegashira #8+2.4
若元春Maegashira #8−3.0寄り切り56%vs44%
朝白龍Maegashira #12+3.6
朝乃山Maegashira #10−3.5押し出し50%vs50%
高安Maegashira #7+3.0
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+3.2押し出し41%vs59%
尊富士Maegashira #13−4.0
正代Maegashira #6+2.3寄り切り55%vs45%
大青山Maegashira #16−2.4
阿武剋Maegashira #15−3.0押し出し50%vs50%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+2.8
宇良Maegashira #5−2.5突き出し49%vs51%
阿炎Maegashira #12+2.7
翔猿Maegashira #9−2.5突き出し48%vs52%
一山本Maegashira #4+2.6
豪ノ山Maegashira #2+2.7押し出し51%vs49%
平戸海Maegashira #3−2.6
美ノ海Maegashira #2+2.9引っ掛け46%vs54%
隆の勝Maegashira #1−3.0
藤ノ川Maegashira #1+2.5寄り切り56%vs44%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−2.4
伯乃富士Maegashira #3+2.7寄り倒し57%vs43%
王鵬Komusubi−2.4
義ノ富士Komusubi−3.2突き落とし50%vs50%
大栄翔Maegashira #4+2.8
熱海富士Sekiwake+3.3押し出し35%vs65%
安青錦Sekiwake−4.4
霧島Ozeki+2.2寄り切り60%vs40%
琴櫻Ozeki−2.3
琴勝峰Sekiwake−1.3押し倒し26%vs74%
大の里Yokozuna+1.6
Championship Playoff
PLAYOFF
- 1. 熱海富士 oshidashi 霧島
- 2. 安青錦 beat 熱海富士
- 3. 安青錦 beat 霧島
Champion: Aonishiki — A three-way playoff between the men tied on 12-3. Atamifuji took the opening bout, but Aonishiki then beat him and followed up against Kirishima for two straight wins and his third championship.
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).