TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 14 REVIEW
On Day 14, Aonishiki moved to the brink of the title. The sole leader forced down Takerufuji for a twelfth win, while his pursuers stayed alive: Kirishima took a walkover when yokozuna Hoshoryu withdrew, and Atamifuji pushed out Shishi — both now on eleven wins. One more victory on the final day gives Aonishiki the championship outright; even a loss will do if both chasers fall. Hoshoryu's withdrawal, with a right hamstring injury, is his fourth in nine tournaments at the sport's highest rank. The other yokozuna, Onosato, secured a winning record by forcing out ozeki Kotozakura. Among the rank and file, Takayasu and Fujiryoga both reached double figures, while sekiwake Kotoshoho was thrust out by Daieisho and finished with a losing record. A 22-year-old from Ukraine now stands one step from the Emperor's Cup — and Nagoya gives its answer on the final day.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
大青山Maegashira #16−2.6上手投げ49%vs51%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10+2.6
一意Maegashira #15+5.4押し出し54%vs46%
翔猿Maegashira #9−2.1
若元春Maegashira #8−2.8押し出し56%vs44%
阿武剋Maegashira #15+3.4
朝紅龍Maegashira #16−2.8寄り切り49%vs51%
狼雅Maegashira #8+2.5
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+3.6寄り切り36%vs64%
朝乃山Maegashira #10−4.8
阿炎Maegashira #12−3.0切り返し55%vs45%
藤青雲Maegashira #6+3.0
宇良Maegashira #5+2.3寄り切り59%vs41%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−2.1
金峰山Maegashira #14−2.6小手投げ50%vs50%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+2.6
平戸海Maegashira #3+2.6押し出し53%vs47%
一山本Maegashira #4−2.4
豪ノ山Maegashira #2−2.9寄り切り56%vs44%
朝白龍Maegashira #12+3.5
伯乃富士Maegashira #3+2.3押し出し60%vs40%
美ノ海Maegashira #2−2.2
藤ノ川Maegashira #1+2.4寄り切り57%vs43%
錦富士Maegashira #13−2.4
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+4.0叩き込み54%vs46%
隆の勝Maegashira #1−2.6
義ノ富士Komusubi−3.2引き落とし48%vs52%
高安Maegashira #7+3.0
正代Maegashira #6−2.1寄り切り44%vs56%
王鵬Komusubi+2.4
熱海富士Sekiwake+1.7押し出し65%vs35%
獅司Maegashira #14−2.0
尊富士Maegashira #13−2.2寄り倒し32%vs68%
安青錦Sekiwake+1.9
大栄翔Maegashira #4+2.2突き出し60%vs40%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−2.2
豊昇龍Yokozuna−3.2不戦50%vs50%
霧島Ozeki+2.9
琴櫻Ozeki−1.9寄り切り36%vs64%
大の里Yokozuna+2.3
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).